Most of what we’ve been seeing in recent sessions has been Euro-supportive. Economic data out of the zone has been on the better side of expectations. Inflation data is pointing up, and ECB speak has been decidedly less dovish. Meanwhile, ECB President Lagarde has said she doesn’t expect a Euro area recession in the months ahead.
Otherwise, the yen has been a little better bid today, perhaps after the BOJ signaled it would be prepared to hike rates more if its outlook was met.
Overall, there have been signs of mild U.S. dollar selling, though it’s not enough to be fully convincing, especially with U.S. equity futures pointing south. Month-end flows will also play into things as the day winds down. There has also been talk of mild U.S. dollar demand on portfolio rebalancing.
All of this comes ahead of today’s round of U.S. data and some major event risk in the days ahead, including tomorrow’s U.S. jobs report and next week’s U.S. election. As for the remainder of today, we have Canada GDP, U.S. personal income, personal spending, U.S. core PCE, and U.S. initial jobless claims.
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