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Trading Opportunities

Preparing for markets to overreact to US inflation?

The week has started slowly in FX, largely attributed to the closure of most Asian markets for New Year holidays. But this quiet period is likely coming to an end, driven by the impending release of U.S. inflation data on...
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NZ Economist’s bold call opens opportunity in NZD?

Sharon Zollner, chief economist at ANZ (the country’s largest retail bank), says the RBNZ may lift interest rates to 6% at its next meetings in February (27th) and April. Zollner accounts for 25 basis points in each meeting. This could...
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Bullish or bearish signs build in USD/JPY?

The USD/JPY surpassed a crucial resistance level at 148.650 on Thursday and hit its highest value since November 2023. The obvious next step is of course to explore the 150.00 threshold. However, any incremental advance beyond this point should be...
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GBP/USD Alert: Next Week’s Inflation Forecast

The week is relatively quiet, so we are looking ahead to next week’s major events. With UK and US inflation released one day apart, perhaps the GBP/USD is the pair to watch. On February 14, U.S. inflation rate data is...
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Wolfe Research thinks NAS100 moves higher

Several mega-cap entities, including Meta and Nvidia, are propping up the Nasdaq 100, following Jerome Powell's 60 Minutes interview on Sunday, which has further diminished the likelihood of a March rate cut (currently below 20%, according to the Financial Times)....
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USD opportunity? Market overestimating March rate cut?

The market is only pricing in a 30% chance of a rate cut from the US Fed in March now. Is this probability too high still? Jerome Powell spoke after the latest FOMC decision yesterday and noted that it was...
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Oil’s Tug-of-War: Iran Tensions vs. Evergrande

On Wednesday, WTI crude futures dropped below $77 per barrel, undoing a 1.4% increase from the prior session, all while the U.S. readies itself to address a lethal attack on its troops in the Middle East. Perhaps traders are concerned...
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Gold forecast: Crazy to expect rate cut tomorrow?

Mostly yes. Market consensus leans towards the U.S. central bank maintaining current interest rates following the conclusion of its two-day meeting tomorrow. However, the potential impact on the U.S. dollar and gold is likely to hinge on statements from Fed...
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This week’s two best trading opportunities?

First opportunity AUD/USD: Australian inflation data released Tuesday evening, might make the AUD/USD the most interesting pair to watch this week. This is because inflation will likely come in higher than 4.0% still. Less than 24 hours later, we then...
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